On Tuesday, October 10, 2017 The UCSB brown-bag forum on spatial thinking presents

The Spatial Distribution of U.S. Climate and Energy Beliefs

Matto Mildenberger

Department of Political Science
University of California, Santa Barbara

12:00 p.m. Tuesday, October 10, 2017 | 3512 Phelps Hall (map)


mapAddressing climate change in the United States requires enactment of national, state, and local mitigation and adaptation policies. The success of these initiatives depends on public opinion, policy support and behaviors at appropriate scales. Public opinion, however, is typically measured with national surveys that obscure geographic variability across regions, states and localities. Matto Mildenberger will present validated, high-resolution opinion estimates of public opinion using a multilevel regression and post-stratification model. The model accurately predicts climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, and policy preferences at the state, congressional district, metropolitan, and county levels, using a concise set of demographic and geographic predictors. Mildenberger will also share research extensions to map the spatial distribution of Republican and Democrat partisan opinions, and to model the spatially-resolved responsiveness of U.S. communities to messaging experiments.

The objectives of the ThinkSpatial brown-bag presentations are to exchange ideas about spatial perspectives in research and teaching, to broaden communication and cooperation across disciplines among faculty and graduate students, and to encourage the sharing of tools and concepts.

Please contact Karen Dohner ( to review and schedule possible discussion topics or presentations that share your disciplinary interest in spatial thinking.

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Thinkspatial: Matto Mildenberger